Evaluating Possible Changes in Air Temperature and Precipitation Patterns in Mozambique by Comparing Present and Future RegCM4 Simulation

Unlike global and regional assessments, the spatio-temporal variability of air temperature precipitation, caused by climate change, must be more useful when assessment is made at sub-regional to local scale. Thus, this study aims assess possible changes in precipitation patterns for late 21st century relative present Mozambique. The model, RegCM4, driven model HadGEM2, was used perform downscaling process under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), moderate RCP4.5 strong RCP8.5. three experiments were analyzed baseline (1971–2000) future (2070−2099) range subregional scale In domain, highest amounts temperatures are observed during extended summer season. However, central region rather warmer rainier than northern- southernmost regions. Hence, RegCM4 demonstrated agreement weather stations interpolated dataset from Climate Research Unit. performance revealed its realistic features, tied topography geographical location domain. increases mean annual well simulated but, spatial distribution magnitude differ between RCPs over each regions throughout country. sharp hottest response end occurs spring seasons RCP8.5, spatially northern with a hot-spot southern region. There predominantly drier season, meridional dipolarization pattern observed, wettest being